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Imbert: Energy windfall, fiscal prudence behind $2b budget surplus - Trinidad and Tobago Newsday

FINANCE Minister Colm Imbert has announced that Trinidad and Tobago achieved a surplus of $1.98 billion at the end of April, instead of a projected deficit of $5.7 billion. This was one of several pieces of "good news" on the performance of the economy which Imbert made public as the House of Representatives sat to debate a motion to approve its Standing Finance Committee's Report and the Finance (Supplementation and Variation of Appropriation) (Financial Year 2022) Bill, 2022, on Monday.

The latter is known as the Mid-Year Budget Review. The motion and the bill were subsequently passed by the House.

Imbert said Government had to borrow large sums of money to keep people employed, support the health sector, acquire covid19 vaccines, provide relief to vulnerable people and initiate a fiscal stimulus to help the economy recover from the effects of the covid19 pandemic.

"This caused the total public debt to climb from $104.7 billion at the end of 2019 to $130.6 billion at the end of 2021."

Government's fiscal stimulus, increased oil and natural gas prices owing to increased global demand as covid19 restrictions were eased across the world and further increases in those prices as a result of the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, was the first bit of good news for TT.

Imbert said, "It has allowed us to stabilise our debt and to reduce borrowing." Government MPs thumped their desks as Imbert declared, "The Government has not borrowed any money, locally or externally, to finance government expenditure since December 2021.

Public debt is falling. "As of today, stands at $129.8 billion, $800 million less that it was in Dec 2021."

Imbert said this was contrary to doomsday predictions from some commentators about public debt spiralling out of control.

The budget deficit was the second piece of good news.

"Based on the projected pattern of income and expenditure in fiscal 2022, it was estimated that the fiscal deficit at the end of April 2022 would have been $5.7 billion." After experiencing a surplus of $654 million in March, instead of a $4.75 billion deficit, there was further cause for celebration at the end of April.

Imbert declared, "Instead of a deficit of $5.7 billion, at the end of April, instead of a deficit of $5.7 billion, we have achieved a fiscal surplus of $1.98 billion."

Imbert reminded MPs that when he presented the budget last October, the projected deficit then was approximately $9 billion.

"We are therefore on target to achieve a much lower deficit in 2022 than originally expected."

Reducing the deficit is one of the first things which Government will do with the increased revenues it has received. Another is making a deposit into the Heritage and Stabilisation Fund (HSF), Last October, Imbert said no one would have predicted then that global oil prices would pass the US$100 per barrel mark.

On Monday, Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil were trading as US$ 113.69 and US$ 113.6 per barrel, respectively.

The increase in government revenue for the first six mon

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