"I don't know what the future holds in November, but I know that the Republican Party is going to be looking at what happens after President Trump and whether that's in four months or in four years. And I think they're going to be looking to, 'How do we go about becoming a bigger tent party?' How do we -- you know, in Maryland, I'm in the bluest state in America and just was reelected overwhelmingly in 2018 by reaching out, by trying to find that middle ground where people can stand together and by avoiding divisive rhetoric and winning suburban women, winning over Democrats and Independents and winning with minority votes. And I think that's something the Republican Party's going to have to look to. We're going to have to find a way to appeal to more people and have a bigger tent."

On its face, that bit of analysis makes sense, right? Politics is, after all, about addition not subtraction. The goal, in theory, has to always be growing the number of people who identify with your side or, in Hogan's metaphor, expanding the Republican tent to include more people who are not currently in it.

But, if you look at the journey of the GOP over the past two decades, there is ample evidence that the party is a smaller tent today than it was 10 years ago -- and that the influence of Trumpism (whether he wins or loses this fall) suggests that the future isn't necessarily what Hogan envisions.

Consider this simple comparison to illustrate that point: In the 2004 presidential election, President George W. Bush took 44% of the Hispanic vote. He did so by pushing for comprehensive immigration reform and refusing to villainize immigrants -- even those in the country illegally -- for his own political gain. Twelve years later, Donald Trump won just 27% of the Latino vote while running a campaign in which he accused Mexicans of being "rapists" and "bringing crime" to the US, and put the construction of a wall along our southern border at the center of his message.

Or this one: Bush lost young voters -- aged 18 to 29 -- by 9 points in 2004. Trump lost 18- to 24-year-olds by 22 points and 25- to 29-year-olds by 16 points in 2016.

Or this one: Bush lost among women by 3 points in 2004. Trump lost women by 13 points in 2016. (The trend continued in 2018 as Republican House candidates lost by 19 points among women.)

What's more remarkable is that those stark declines among key voting blocs came even after the Republican Party itself warned that the tent needed to get bigger.

In the wake of President Barack Obama's convincing reelection win in 2012, the Republican National Committee commissioned an autopsy of why they lost and what the party needed to change in order to win again. It was dubbed the "Growth and Opportunity Project" (G-O-P, get it?) and the end result was startlingly frank.

Here's a bit of it:

"The Republican Party needs to stop talking to itself. We have become expert in how to provide ideological reinforcement to like-minded people, but devastatingly we have lost the